Stock Analysis

Investors Give Kerlink SA (EPA:ALKLK) Shares A 26% Hiding

ENXTPA:ALKLK
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Kerlink SA (EPA:ALKLK) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 21% in that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, given about half the companies operating in France's Communications industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.9x, you may consider Kerlink as an attractive investment with its 0.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Kerlink

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ENXTPA:ALKLK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024

How Kerlink Has Been Performing

Kerlink has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to improve at all. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Kerlink will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Kerlink's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Kerlink's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 27% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 23% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 20% each year during the coming three years according to the sole analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 1.8% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Kerlink's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Kerlink's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Communications companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Kerlink's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Kerlink has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kerlink might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.