What Is Capgemini SE's (EPA:CAP) Share Price Doing?

Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Capgemini SE (EPA:CAP). The company's stock received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the ENXTPA over the last few months, increasing to €196 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €155. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Capgemini's current trading price of €168 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Capgemini’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Capgemini

What Is Capgemini Worth?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Capgemini’s ratio of 24.95x is trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 20.04x, which means if you buy Capgemini today, you’d be paying a relatively sensible price for it. And if you believe Capgemini should be trading in this range, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Capgemini’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What does the future of Capgemini look like?

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Capgemini's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 59%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? CAP’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at CAP? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on CAP, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for CAP, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about Capgemini as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 2 warning signs for Capgemini and we think they deserve your attention.

If you are no longer interested in Capgemini, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.