Stock Analysis

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Soitec SA's (EPA:SOI) Full-Year Report

Published
ENXTPA:SOI

Investors in Soitec SA (EPA:SOI) had a good week, as its shares rose 3.4% to close at €115 following the release of its yearly results. It was a credible result overall, with revenues of €978m and statutory earnings per share of €4.88 both in line with analyst estimates, showing that Soitec is executing in line with expectations. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

View our latest analysis for Soitec

ENXTPA:SOI Earnings and Revenue Growth May 25th 2024

Following last week's earnings report, Soitec's 17 analysts are forecasting 2025 revenues to be €971.8m, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are expected to fall 17% to €4.14 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €968.9m and earnings per share (EPS) of €4.17 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at €143. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Soitec at €194 per share, while the most bearish prices it at €102. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that revenue is expected to reverse, with a forecast 0.6% annualised decline to the end of 2025. That is a notable change from historical growth of 18% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 6.8% annually for the foreseeable future. It's pretty clear that Soitec's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at €143, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Soitec going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Soitec that you need to take into consideration.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.