What underlying fundamental trends can indicate that a company might be in decline? Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. Trends like this ultimately mean the business is reducing its investments and also earning less on what it has invested. So after glancing at the trends within Imerys (EPA:NK), we weren't too hopeful.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Imerys is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.063 = €363m ÷ (€6.9b - €1.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).
So, Imerys has an ROCE of 6.3%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Basic Materials industry average of 9.7%.
See our latest analysis for Imerys
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Imerys compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
How Are Returns Trending?
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Imerys. About five years ago, returns on capital were 9.6%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Imerys becoming one if things continue as they have.
Our Take On Imerys' ROCE
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 33% from where it was five years ago. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
One more thing, we've spotted 3 warning signs facing Imerys that you might find interesting.
While Imerys may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTPA:NK
Imerys
Provides mineral-based specialty solutions for various industries worldwide.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.