Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Cogra 48 Société Anonyme (EPA:ALCOG) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

ENXTPA:ALCOG
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Cogra 48 Société Anonyme (EPA:ALCOG) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Cogra 48 Société Anonyme

What Is Cogra 48 Société Anonyme's Debt?

As you can see below, Cogra 48 Société Anonyme had €13.4m of debt, at December 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have €3.89m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €9.51m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTPA:ALCOG Debt to Equity History June 28th 2022

How Healthy Is Cogra 48 Société Anonyme's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Cogra 48 Société Anonyme had liabilities of €7.55m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €10.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €3.89m as well as receivables valued at €6.54m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €7.83m.

Given Cogra 48 Société Anonyme has a market capitalization of €39.4m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Cogra 48 Société Anonyme's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.1 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 21.9 times, makes us even more comfortable. One way Cogra 48 Société Anonyme could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 14%, as it did over the last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Cogra 48 Société Anonyme's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Cogra 48 Société Anonyme actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

On our analysis Cogra 48 Société Anonyme's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. In particular, conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gives us cold feet. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Cogra 48 Société Anonyme's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Cogra 48 Société Anonyme you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.