Stock Analysis
COFACE SA's (EPA:COFA) last week's 4.5% decline must have disappointed retail investors who have a significant stake
Key Insights
- The considerable ownership by retail investors in COFACE indicates that they collectively have a greater say in management and business strategy
- The top 16 shareholders own 50% of the company
- Institutions own 25% of COFACE
If you want to know who really controls COFACE SA (EPA:COFA), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. With 45% stake, retail investors possess the maximum shares in the company. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).
As market cap fell to €2.1b last week, retail investors would have faced the highest losses than any other shareholder groups of the company.
In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of COFACE.
Check out our latest analysis for COFACE
What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About COFACE?
Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.
We can see that COFACE does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at COFACE's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.
Hedge funds don't have many shares in COFACE. Our data shows that Arch Capital Group Ltd. is the largest shareholder with 30% of shares outstanding. The second and third largest shareholders are Dimensional Fund Advisors LP and DNCA Finance, with an equal amount of shares to their name at 3.0%.
Looking at the shareholder registry, we can see that 50% of the ownership is controlled by the top 16 shareholders, meaning that no single shareholder has a majority interest in the ownership.
While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. There is some analyst coverage of the stock, but it could still become more well known, with time.
Insider Ownership Of COFACE
The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.
I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.
Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of COFACE SA in their own names. It's a big company, so even a small proportional interest can create alignment between the board and shareholders. In this case insiders own €3.7m worth of shares. Arguably, recent buying and selling is just as important to consider. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.
General Public Ownership
The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 45% stake in COFACE. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.
Public Company Ownership
Public companies currently own 30% of COFACE stock. We can't be certain but it is quite possible this is a strategic stake. The businesses may be similar, or work together.
Next Steps:
While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for COFACE (of which 2 make us uncomfortable!) you should know about.
But ultimately it is the future, not the past, that will determine how well the owners of this business will do. Therefore we think it advisable to take a look at this free report showing whether analysts are predicting a brighter future.
NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTPA:COFA
COFACE
Through its subsidiaries, provides credit insurance products and related services for microenterprises, small and medium enterprises, mid-market companies, international corporations, financial institutions, and clients of distribution partners.