Stock Analysis

Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme's (EPA:EC) Soft Earnings

ENXTPA:EC
Source: Shutterstock

Shareholders appeared unconcerned with TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme's (EPA:EC) lackluster earnings report last week. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

Check out our latest analysis for TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme

earnings-and-revenue-history
ENXTPA:EC Earnings and Revenue History May 8th 2024

Zooming In On TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to December 2023, TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme had an accrual ratio of -0.10. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of US$141m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of US$26.4m. TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme.

Our Take On TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme's Profit Performance

TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TotalEnergies EP Gabon Société Anonyme might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.