With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16x Sodexo S.A. (EPA:SW) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in France have P/E ratios under 13x and even P/E's lower than 7x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Sodexo certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Sodexo
Keen to find out how analysts think Sodexo's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sodexo would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 31%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 430% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 7.6% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 14% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we find it concerning that Sodexo is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Sodexo currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Sodexo that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Sodexo. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTPA:SW
Sodexo
Provides food services and facilities management services worldwide.
Solid track record with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.