Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Cybergun S.A.'s (EPA:ALCYB) 32% Price Drop
Cybergun S.A. (EPA:ALCYB) shares have had a horrible month, losing 32% after a relatively good period beforehand. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 79% share price decline.
Since its price has dipped substantially, considering around half the companies operating in France's Leisure industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.6x, you may consider Cybergun as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Cybergun
How Cybergun Has Been Performing
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Cybergun as its revenue has been rising very briskly. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Cybergun will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Cybergun will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Cybergun?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Cybergun's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 50% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 53% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 80% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Cybergun's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Cybergun's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Leisure companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
In line with expectations, Cybergun maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Cybergun you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTPA:ALCYB
Cybergun
Manufactures and distributes replica weapons, light machine guns, and associated accessories worldwide.
Moderate with adequate balance sheet.