Stock Analysis

Solid Earnings Reflect SPIE's (EPA:SPIE) Strength As A Business

ENXTPA:SPIE
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SPIE SA (EPA:SPIE) recently posted some strong earnings, and the market responded positively. We did some digging and found some further encouraging factors that investors will like.

Check out our latest analysis for SPIE

earnings-and-revenue-history
ENXTPA:SPIE Earnings and Revenue History March 15th 2024

Zooming In On SPIE's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

SPIE has an accrual ratio of -0.15 for the year to December 2023. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of €652m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of €238.5m. SPIE shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On SPIE's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, SPIE has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that SPIE's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing SPIE at this point in time. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with SPIE, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of SPIE's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether SPIE is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.