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€26.14: That's What Analysts Think GL Events SA (EPA:GLO) Is Worth After Its Latest Results
As you might know, GL Events SA (EPA:GLO) recently reported its annual numbers. It was an okay result overall, with revenues coming in at €1.4b, roughly what the analysts had been expecting. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
See our latest analysis for GL Events
Following the latest results, GL Events' five analysts are now forecasting revenues of €1.46b in 2024. This would be a satisfactory 3.2% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €1.52b and earnings per share (EPS) of €2.52 in 2024. So we can see that while the consensus made a minor downgrade to revenue estimates, it no longer provides an earnings per share estimate. This suggests that the market is now more focused on revenue after the latest result.
Intriguingly,the analysts have cut their price target 6.5% to €26.14 showing a clear decline in sentiment around GL Events' valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic GL Events analyst has a price target of €27.20 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €25.00. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting GL Events is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that GL Events' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 3.2% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 8.3% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 4.3% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that GL Events is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their revenue estimates for next year. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates it is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of GL Events' future valuation.
We have estimates for GL Events from its five analysts out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.
You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for GL Events you should be aware of.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTPA:GLO
Very undervalued average dividend payer.