Stock Analysis

Are Elis' (EPA:ELIS) Statutory Earnings A Good Guide To Its Underlying Profitability?

ENXTPA:ELIS
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It might be old fashioned, but we really like to invest in companies that make a profit, each and every year. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it's not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. In this article, we'll look at how useful this year's statutory profit is, when analysing Elis (EPA:ELIS).

We like the fact that Elis made a profit of €56.9m on its revenue of €3.03b, in the last year. As you can see in the chart below, its profit has declined over the last three years, even though its revenue has increased.

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earnings-and-revenue-history
ENXTPA:ELIS Earnings and Revenue History February 8th 2021

Of course, it is only sensible to look beyond the statutory profits and question how well those numbers represent the sustainable earnings power of the business. This article will focus on the impact unusual items have had on Elis' statutory earnings. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

For anyone who wants to understand Elis' profit beyond the statutory numbers, it's important to note that during the last twelve months statutory profit was reduced by €56m due to unusual items. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Elis to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Our Take On Elis' Profit Performance

Unusual items (expenses) detracted from Elis' earnings over the last year, but we might see an improvement next year. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Elis' statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Elis (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Elis' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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