Stock Analysis

Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A. (EPA:SGO) Just Released Its Half-Yearly Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

ENXTPA:SGO
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Last week saw the newest interim earnings release from Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A. (EPA:SGO), an important milestone in the company's journey to build a stronger business. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of €23b and statutory earnings per share of €5.26. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

Check out our latest analysis for Compagnie de Saint-Gobain

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ENXTPA:SGO Earnings and Revenue Growth July 30th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain's 16 analysts currently expect revenues in 2024 to be €46.9b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to rise 5.4% to €6.02. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €47.0b and earnings per share (EPS) of €6.01 in 2024. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of €88.85, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Compagnie de Saint-Gobain analyst has a price target of €106 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €68.00. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Compagnie de Saint-Gobain's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 1.8% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 4.8% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 4.9% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Compagnie de Saint-Gobain is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Compagnie de Saint-Gobain going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Compagnie de Saint-Gobain .

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.