Stock Analysis

Is Colas (EPA:RE) Set To Make A Turnaround?

ENXTPA:RE
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When it comes to investing, there are some useful financial metrics that can warn us when a business is potentially in trouble. When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. So after glancing at the trends within Colas (EPA:RE), we weren't too hopeful.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Colas:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.042 = €185m ÷ (€9.2b - €4.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

So, Colas has an ROCE of 4.2%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 4.6% average generated by the Construction industry.

View our latest analysis for Colas

roce
ENXTPA:RE Return on Capital Employed March 9th 2021

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Colas' ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating Colas' past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Colas Tell Us?

We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Colas. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 6.6% that they were earning five years ago. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Colas becoming one if things continue as they have.

On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Colas has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 53%, which we'd consider pretty high. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.

The Bottom Line

All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. Investors must expect better things on the horizon though because the stock has risen 12% in the last five years. Regardless, we don't like the trends as they are and if they persist, we think you might find better investments elsewhere.

If you want to know some of the risks facing Colas we've found 3 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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