The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Thales S.A. (EPA:HO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Thales
How Much Debt Does Thales Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Thales had €4.32b of debt, an increase on €3.83b, over one year. However, it does have €4.93b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €606.9m.
A Look At Thales' Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Thales had liabilities of €21.6b due within 12 months and liabilities of €6.30b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €4.93b in cash and €8.97b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €14.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit isn't so bad because Thales is worth a massive €27.3b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Thales also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Also positive, Thales grew its EBIT by 20% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Thales can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Thales may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Thales actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Summing Up
Although Thales's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of €606.9m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of €1.6b, being 149% of its EBIT. So is Thales's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Thales that you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTPA:HO
Thales
Provides various solutions in the defence and security, aerospace and space, and digital identity and security markets worldwide.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.
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