Stock Analysis

Bouygues SA Just Beat EPS By 10.0%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

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Bouygues SA (EPA:EN) came out with its half-year results last week, and we wanted to see how the business is performing and what industry forecasters think of the company following this report. The result was positive overall - although revenues of €27b were in line with what the analysts predicted, Bouygues surprised by delivering a statutory profit of €0.88 per share, modestly greater than expected. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

See our latest analysis for Bouygues

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ENXTPA:EN Earnings and Revenue Growth July 31st 2024

Following last week's earnings report, Bouygues' eleven analysts are forecasting 2024 revenues to be €56.9b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to rise 8.9% to €2.89. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of €57.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of €2.89 in 2024. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at €38.65. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Bouygues, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at €48.00 and the most bearish at €34.00 per share. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that Bouygues' revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 1.8% annualised growth rate until the end of 2024 being well below the historical 10% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 4.8% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Bouygues is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at €38.65, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Bouygues. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Bouygues going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Even so, be aware that Bouygues is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.