Stock Analysis

Is NSE (EPA:ALNSE) A Risky Investment?

ENXTPA:ALNSE
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that NSE S.A. (EPA:ALNSE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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What Is NSE's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that NSE had €4.22m of debt in June 2023, down from €6.11m, one year before. However, it does have €9.45m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €5.23m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTPA:ALNSE Debt to Equity History November 23rd 2023

A Look At NSE's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that NSE had liabilities of €28.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of €5.98m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €9.45m as well as receivables valued at €27.5m due within 12 months. So it can boast €2.86m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that NSE could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, NSE boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Also positive, NSE grew its EBIT by 22% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if NSE can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. NSE may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, NSE recorded free cash flow worth 53% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that NSE has net cash of €5.23m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 22% over the last year. So we don't think NSE's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - NSE has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.