Stock Analysis

Gold By Gold SA's (EPA:ALGLD) Shares Leap 37% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

ENXTPA:ALGLD
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Gold By Gold SA (EPA:ALGLD) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 37% gain in the last month alone. The annual gain comes to 112% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Gold By Gold's P/S ratio of 0.8x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Trade Distributors industry in France is also close to 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Gold By Gold

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ENXTPA:ALGLD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 22nd 2024

What Does Gold By Gold's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Revenue has risen firmly for Gold By Gold recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on Gold By Gold will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Gold By Gold, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Gold By Gold?

Gold By Gold's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 23% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 221% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 3.9% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that Gold By Gold's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Gold By Gold's P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Gold By Gold's P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We didn't quite envision Gold By Gold's P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Gold By Gold has 4 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Gold By Gold, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.