Stock Analysis

Agripower France's (EPA:ALAGP) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

ENXTPA:ALAGP
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If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Agripower France (EPA:ALAGP) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Agripower France, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.015 = €255k ÷ (€24m - €6.8m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Therefore, Agripower France has an ROCE of 1.5%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Machinery industry average of 6.2%.

See our latest analysis for Agripower France

roce
ENXTPA:ALAGP Return on Capital Employed June 11th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Agripower France's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Agripower France here for free.

SWOT Analysis for Agripower France

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is well covered by earnings.
Weakness
  • Expensive based on P/E ratio compared to estimated Fair P/E ratio.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the French market.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.

How Are Returns Trending?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Agripower France, we didn't gain much confidence. Around four years ago the returns on capital were 32%, but since then they've fallen to 1.5%. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

On a side note, Agripower France has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 28% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.

The Bottom Line On Agripower France's ROCE

Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Agripower France. These growth trends haven't led to growth returns though, since the stock has fallen 39% over the last three years. So we think it'd be worthwhile to look further into this stock given the trends look encouraging.

Like most companies, Agripower France does come with some risks, and we've found 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.