Airbus (ENXTPA:AIR) Valuation in Focus Following Consistent Share Price Gains

Airbus (ENXTPA:AIR) shares continue to draw investors' attention given its steady performance over the past month, with the stock rising about 6%. This consistent upward movement brings recent valuation into the spotlight.

See our latest analysis for Airbus.

The momentum is clearly building for Airbus, with a 30-day share price return of 6.5% and a year-to-date gain topping 28%. Even more striking, its total shareholder return over the past year stands at an impressive 48.7%. This reflects renewed optimism around the company’s growth outlook and recent steady performance. In summary, both short- and long-term results have kept investors’ confidence high as Airbus continues to capture attention in the aerospace sector.

If you want to see what else is taking flight in the industry, now's a perfect time to explore See the full list for free.

With such strong momentum and high returns, the key question now is whether Airbus shares are undervalued, offering a potential entry point, or if the market has already accounted for the company’s future growth prospects.

Most Popular Narrative: Fairly Valued

With Airbus closing at €205.45 and the narrative consensus fair value at €203.25, current pricing closely matches forecasted fundamentals. This sets up an intriguing lens for the key drivers that underpin the consensus view.

Structural industry shift toward decarbonization and sustainability aligns with Airbus's portfolio and ongoing R&D investments. This positions the company to capture outsized share of new and replacement demand as environmental pressures mount and could support higher net margins over time.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to unlock the story behind this razor-thin valuation call? There is a fascinating projection of rising demand, margin outperformance, and future profit multiples beneath the surface. Dive in and see which underlying trends analysts believe could reshape Airbus’s earnings power.

Result: Fair Value of €203.25 (ABOUT RIGHT)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, supply chain vulnerabilities and elevated inventories could still challenge Airbus’s momentum. These factors could potentially disrupt production plans and earnings growth in the near term.

Find out about the key risks to this Airbus narrative.

Another View: What Does the SWS DCF Model Say?

While the fair value consensus and market pricing are tightly aligned, our DCF model paints a different picture. According to this approach, Airbus is significantly undervalued, trading well below what the future projected cash flows suggest. Does the DCF see hidden upside that multiples might be missing?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

Build Your Own Airbus Narrative

If you see the story differently, or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can craft your own take on Airbus in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Airbus.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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