Stock Analysis

Caisse régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Atlantique Vendée's (EPA:CRAV) Stock Price Has Reduced 39% In The Past Year

ENXTPA:CRAV
Source: Shutterstock

It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. Active investors aim to buy stocks that vastly outperform the market - but in the process, they risk under-performance. For example, the Caisse régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Atlantique Vendée (EPA:CRAV) share price is down 39% in the last year. That contrasts poorly with the market decline of 0.2%. Longer term shareholders haven't suffered as badly, since the stock is down a comparatively less painful 16% in three years. It's up 5.0% in the last seven days.

Check out our latest analysis for Caisse régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Atlantique Vendée

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Unhappily, Caisse régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Atlantique Vendée had to report a 48% decline in EPS over the last year. This fall in the EPS is significantly worse than the 39% the share price fall. It may have been that the weak EPS was not as bad as some had feared.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
ENXTPA:CRAV Earnings Per Share Growth February 13th 2021

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Caisse régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Atlantique Vendée, it has a TSR of -37% for the last year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Caisse régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Atlantique Vendée shareholders are down 37% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 0.2%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 8%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Caisse régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Atlantique Vendée (1 is a bit unpleasant) that you should be aware of.

Of course Caisse régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Atlantique Vendée may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on FR exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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