BNP Paribas Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 5/6
BNP Paribas has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 9.9%, while the Banks industry saw earnings growing at 2.8% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 4.2% per year. BNP Paribas's return on equity is 10.2%, and it has net margins of 24.9%.
Key information
9.91%
Earnings growth rate
12.94%
EPS growth rate
| Banks Industry Growth | 4.84% |
| Revenue growth rate | 4.18% |
| Return on equity | 10.22% |
| Net Margin | 24.91% |
| Next Earnings Update | 28 Oct 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Aug 09
BNP: Earnings Strength And Leasing Expansion Will Shape Future Repricing Balance
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for BNP Paribas to €116.74 from €113.98, reflecting a series of recent price target increases across the Street that reference a slightly higher profit margin outlook and updated P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BNP Paribas has focused on where the stock should trade rather than on major shifts in ratings.Narrative Update • Jul 26
BNP: Digital Earnings Momentum And Tokenization Efforts Will Shape Future Repricing Balance
BNP Paribas' updated fair value estimate has moved from €108.27 to €113.98, reflecting analysts' higher price targets in recent research and their rationale around adjusted revenue growth, stronger profit margins and a slightly lower future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent research on BNP Paribas has focused on a series of upward price target revisions, offering a window into how the market is weighing the bank's execution, growth prospects and current valuation.Narrative Update • Jul 10
BNP: AI Cybersecurity Demands And Tokenization Trials Will Shape Future Rerating Prospects
The analyst price target for BNP Paribas has increased by about €2.50, with analysts citing slightly adjusted fair value estimates, updated revenue growth assumptions, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple to support the change. Analyst Commentary Recent research on BNP Paribas points to a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting their price targets within a relatively tight range.Narrative Update • Jun 18
BNP: AI And Tokenization Advances Will Support Steady Stock Rerating Prospects
The updated analyst narrative for BNP Paribas reflects a slightly higher fair value estimate of €105.75, with the modest move supported by recent price target adjustments from Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley, partly offset by a small cut from Citi. Analyst Commentary Recent research on BNP Paribas points to a mixed but generally constructive tone, with several price target tweaks clustering in a relatively narrow range.Narrative Update • Jun 03
BNP: AI Transformation And Record Q1 Execution Will Support Forward Rerating
Analysts have inched their fair value estimate for BNP Paribas higher from about €103.30 to roughly €105.64, reflecting a cluster of recent price target revisions around €98 to €107 and updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around BNP Paribas clusters in a fairly tight valuation band, with price targets cited between €98 and €107.Narrative Update • Apr 27
BNP: Stronger Execution And Energy Storage Partnership Will Support Forward Rerating
BNP Paribas' updated analyst price target edges higher to about €103 from roughly €101. Analysts reflect slightly stronger assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E multiple in their models.Narrative Update • Apr 11
BNP: Higher Conviction In Execution Will Support Forward Rerating
Analyst price targets for BNP Paribas have moved higher into a range of €96 to €106, with several firms citing updated views on the bank's outlook and risk reward profile as the basis for their revised numbers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on BNP Paribas clusters around higher price targets in a relatively tight band, suggesting a more constructive view on valuation and execution, while still leaving room for differing opinions on risk and upside.Narrative Update • Mar 28
BNP: Profitability Actions And Disposals Will Support Higher Forward Rerating
BNP Paribas' analyst fair value has edged up from €100.72 to €101.35, with analysts pointing to recent price target increases into the €96 to €106 range and upgraded ratings, as they factor in slightly higher revenue growth, profit margin assumptions and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a cluster of price target revisions and rating upgrades around BNP Paribas, with several banks setting targets in the €96 to €106 range.Narrative Update • Mar 12
BNP: Profitability Actions And Disposals Will Support Higher Forward Repricing
Analysts have inched their fair value estimate for BNP Paribas higher, with a small uplift supported by a series of recent price target increases to around €96 to €106 and upgrades to Outperform, Overweight and Buy ratings across several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research signals a generally constructive stance on BNP Paribas, with several firms adjusting targets into a tight range around €96 to €106 and pairing those moves with upgraded ratings.Narrative Update • Feb 26
BNP: Profitability Actions And Capital Disposals Will Shape Balanced Forward Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for BNP Paribas higher from €98.87 to €100.66, supported by a series of recent price target increases across banks such as Deutsche Bank, RBC, Citi, Barclays, JPMorgan and UBS, which point to ongoing actions to improve profitability and address capital concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on BNP Paribas cluster around higher price targets and rating changes, giving you a clearer view of how the Street is thinking about the bank's valuation, execution and capital position.Narrative Update • Feb 11
BNP: Profitability Actions And Disposals Will Guide Balanced Forward Risk Reward
Analysts have raised their price target on BNP Paribas by about €5, citing updated assumptions around fair value, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Recent target increases and upgrades from major banks are also described as supporting factors for the move.Narrative Update • Jan 26
BNP: Profitability Measures And Disposals Will Shape Balanced Longer Term Risk Reward
The updated analyst price target for BNP Paribas reflects a higher fair value estimate of €93.87 from €90.24. This is supported by recent target increases from banks such as Barclays, Deutsche Bank, Citi, JPMorgan and UBS, which point to analysts focusing on profitability measures, disposals and a slightly higher assumed future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Jan 11
BNP: Profitability Rebuild And Capital Actions Will Shape Balanced Long-Term Risk Reward
Narrative Update The analyst price target for BNP Paribas has moved higher, with the fair value estimate shifting from €88.66 to €90.24. Analysts attribute this change to efforts to improve profitability in underperforming units, ongoing disposals, and updated assumptions on margins and future P/E.Narrative Update • Dec 18
BNP: Digital And Defense Finance Will Shape Balanced Long-Term Risk Reward
BNP Paribas's analyst fair value estimate has been nudged higher to EUR 88.66 from EUR 88.31, as analysts temper top line growth expectations while slightly improving profit margin assumptions following a series of modest price target cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on BNP Paribas has turned more mixed, with several houses trimming price targets and one recent downgrade, even as the bank's earnings resilience keeps long term value intact in many models.Narrative Update • Dec 04
BNP: Digital Finance Expansion Will Drive Long-Term Upside Despite Recent Caution
BNP Paribas's analyst price target has been modestly reduced, with fair value edging down toward the high EUR 80s as analysts factor in a wave of slightly lower Street targets and more cautious rating stances, notably the recent moves to the EUR 87 to EUR 92 range and a downgrade to Hold. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more balanced but slightly cautious stance on BNP Paribas, with incremental adjustments to price targets indicating tempered expectations for upside while still acknowledging the group’s solid fundamentals.Narrative Update • Nov 20
BNP: Exposure To Digital Finance And Defense Deals Will Drive Long-Term Resilience
Analysts have slightly lowered their price targets for BNP Paribas. The consensus fair value has decreased from €89.72 to €88.13, reflecting updated expectations around modest revenue growth and profit margins.Narrative Update • Nov 05
BNP: Shares Will Benefit From Defensive Exposure Amid Policy Changes And Industry Collaboration
The analyst price target for BNP Paribas has been revised downward by analysts, decreasing from approximately €91.07 to €89.72. This revision is attributed to modestly weaker revenue growth projections and slightly lower future profit margins in their updated outlook.Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analyst Commentary Highlights Mixed Outlook and Slight Price Target Reduction for BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas’s analyst price target has been revised downward by approximately €1 to €91. Analysts are factoring in slightly lower revenue growth expectations and sector headwinds, despite stable discount rates and improved profit margin forecasts.Narrative Update • Aug 27
Digital Banking And Sustainable Finance Will Expand Distribution Network
Analyst sentiment on BNP Paribas remains divided, with modest upward price target revisions from bullish analysts reflecting stable fundamentals, while bearish views cite limited near-term growth, resulting in a slight consensus price target decrease from €92.08 to €91.14. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite continued outperformance despite only modest price target increases, reflecting stable earnings and operational resilience.
New Narrative • Nov 07
Capitalizing On Climate And Tech, Transforming Through Decisive Acquisitions For Dynamic Growth
Revenue growth expected from corporate client financing in climate and technology transitions, leveraging CIB demand and Capital Markets Union opportunities.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How BNP Paribas makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 26 | 51,256 | 12,767 | 3,520 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 26 | 49,081 | 11,786 | 3,477 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 47,937 | 11,520 | 3,477 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 46,744 | 10,984 | 4,146 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 46,192 | 10,808 | 4,146 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 46,139 | 10,916 | 3,002 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 45,738 | 10,843 | 3,002 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 44,474 | 10,298 | 2,813 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 44,109 | 10,091 | 2,813 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 43,345 | 8,741 | 2,813 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 42,824 | 7,351 | 2,813 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 43,026 | 7,248 | 2,802 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 42,627 | 7,224 | 2,802 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 42,696 | 8,463 | 2,802 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 42,473 | 8,586 | 2,802 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 41,525 | 8,612 | 18,223 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 41,769 | 8,478 | 18,223 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 42,191 | 8,513 | 13,582 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 41,625 | 8,332 | 18,223 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 40,166 | 7,954 | 17,682 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 39,155 | 7,345 | 17,682 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 38,222 | 6,511 | 14,246 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 37,414 | 6,247 | 17,682 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 40,322 | 6,876 | 19,458 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 40,649 | 6,920 | 19,458 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 41,593 | 7,093 | 27,535 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 42,963 | 7,745 | 19,458 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 41,607 | 7,360 | 8,538 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 41,551 | 7,460 | 8,538 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 41,039 | 7,506 | 17,742 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 40,110 | 7,159 | 17,742 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 40,689 | 7,281 | 26,859 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 40,789 | 7,202 | 26,859 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 40,321 | 7,211 | 17,655 | 0 |
| 01 Jan 18 | 40,742 | 7,537 | 17,655 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 40,727 | 7,414 | 17,567 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 40,500 | 7,341 | 17,567 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 40,755 | 7,538 | 17,567 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 40,137 | 7,470 | 17,567 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 40,339 | 6,748 | 17,203 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 39,977 | 6,688 | 17,203 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 40,042 | 6,466 | 17,203 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 40,137 | 6,385 | 17,203 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 39,534 | 6,895 | 15,817 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: BNP has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: BNP's current net profit margins (24.9%) are higher than last year (23.4%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: BNP's earnings have grown by 9.9% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: BNP's earnings growth over the past year (18.1%) exceeds its 5-year average (9.9% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: BNP earnings growth over the past year (18.1%) exceeded the Banks industry 6%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: BNP's Return on Equity (10.2%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/08/17 22:06 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/08/17 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
BNP Paribas SA is covered by 35 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Javier Esteban Lario | Banco de Sabadell. S.A. |
| Ignacio Mendez Terroso | Banco Santander |
| Kirishanthan Vijayarajah | Barclays |