Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Forvia (EPA:FRVIA) Is Using Debt Extensively

ENXTPA:FRVIA
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Forvia SE (EPA:FRVIA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Forvia

What Is Forvia's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Forvia had €10.1b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had €4.29b in cash, and so its net debt is €5.80b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTPA:FRVIA Debt to Equity History September 11th 2024

How Healthy Is Forvia's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Forvia had liabilities of €13.8b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €10.5b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €4.29b and €6.34b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €13.7b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the €1.69b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Forvia would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Even though Forvia's debt is only 2.5, its interest cover is really very low at 2.5. This does have us wondering if the company pays high interest because it is considered risky. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. If Forvia can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 12% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Forvia's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Forvia's free cash flow amounted to 35% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Forvia's level of total liabilities was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Forvia to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Forvia (including 1 which is concerning) .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.