Stock Analysis

Should Income Investors Look At Fortum Oyj (HEL:FORTUM) Before Its Ex-Dividend?

HLSE:FORTUM
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Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Fortum Oyj (HEL:FORTUM) is about to go ex-dividend in just four days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. Meaning, you will need to purchase Fortum Oyj's shares before the 1st of October to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 9th of October.

The company's next dividend payment will be €0.57 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of €1.15 to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Fortum Oyj has a trailing yield of approximately 7.9% on its current stock price of €14.60. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. As a result, readers should always check whether Fortum Oyj has been able to grow its dividends, or if the dividend might be cut.

See our latest analysis for Fortum Oyj

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. It paid out 80% of its earnings as dividends last year, which is not unreasonable, but limits reinvestment in the business and leaves the dividend vulnerable to a business downturn. We'd be worried about the risk of a drop in earnings. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. It paid out 96% of its free cash flow in the form of dividends last year, which is outside the comfort zone for most businesses. Companies usually need cash more than they need earnings - expenses don't pay themselves - so it's not great to see it paying out so much of its cash flow.

While Fortum Oyj's dividends were covered by the company's reported profits, cash is somewhat more important, so it's not great to see that the company didn't generate enough cash to pay its dividend. Cash is king, as they say, and were Fortum Oyj to repeatedly pay dividends that aren't well covered by cashflow, we would consider this a warning sign.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
HLSE:FORTUM Historic Dividend September 26th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with consistently growing earnings per share generally make the best dividend stocks, as they usually find it easier to grow dividends per share. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. With that in mind, we're encouraged by the steady growth at Fortum Oyj, with earnings per share up 8.6% on average over the last five years. Earnings have been growing at a steady rate, but we're concerned dividend payments consumed most of the company's cash flow over the past year.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Fortum Oyj's dividend payments are broadly unchanged compared to where they were 10 years ago.

Final Takeaway

Should investors buy Fortum Oyj for the upcoming dividend? Fortum Oyj is paying out a reasonable percentage of its income and an uncomfortably high 96% of its cash flow as dividends. At least earnings per share have been growing steadily. With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of Fortum Oyj.

Although, if you're still interested in Fortum Oyj and want to know more, you'll find it very useful to know what risks this stock faces. For example, Fortum Oyj has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.