To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. So when we looked at Elisa Oyj (HEL:ELISA), they do have a high ROCE, but we weren't exactly elated from how returns are trending.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Elisa Oyj, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.20 = €458m ÷ (€3.0b - €722m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).
Thus, Elisa Oyj has an ROCE of 20%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Telecom industry average of 9.2%.
View our latest analysis for Elisa Oyj
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Elisa Oyj compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
The Trend Of ROCE
Things have been pretty stable at Elisa Oyj, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. Although current returns are high, we'd need more evidence of underlying growth for it to look like a multi-bagger going forward. That probably explains why Elisa Oyj has been paying out 94% of its earnings as dividends to shareholders. If the company is in fact lacking growth opportunities, that's one of the viable alternatives for the money.
What We Can Learn From Elisa Oyj's ROCE
While Elisa Oyj has impressive profitability from its capital, it isn't increasing that amount of capital. Since the stock has gained an impressive 79% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
Elisa Oyj does come with some risks though, we found 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those can't be ignored...
Elisa Oyj is not the only stock earning high returns. If you'd like to see more, check out our free list of companies earning high returns on equity with solid fundamentals.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Elisa Oyj might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About HLSE:ELISA
Elisa Oyj
Engages in the provision of telecommunications services in Finland, rest of Europe, and internationally.
Second-rate dividend payer and slightly overvalued.
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