Stock Analysis

Earnings Tell The Story For Musti Group Oyj (HEL:MUSTI) As Its Stock Soars 28%

HLSE:MUSTI
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Musti Group Oyj (HEL:MUSTI) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 25% over that time.

Since its price has surged higher, Musti Group Oyj's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 37.6x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Finland, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 18x and even P/E's below 12x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Musti Group Oyj hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Musti Group Oyj

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HLSE:MUSTI Price Based on Past Earnings August 13th 2022
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Musti Group Oyj will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Growth For Musti Group Oyj?

Musti Group Oyj's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.0%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 480% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 26% each year during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 14% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Musti Group Oyj's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in Musti Group Oyj have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Musti Group Oyj maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Musti Group Oyj that we have uncovered.

You might be able to find a better investment than Musti Group Oyj. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.