Raisio plc Just Recorded A 15% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Investors in Raisio plc (HEL:RAIVV) had a good week, as its shares rose 3.2% to close at €2.59 following the release of its third-quarter results. Revenues €57m disappointed slightly, at4.4% below what the analysts had predicted. Profits were a relative bright spot, with statutory per-share earnings of €0.05 coming in 15% above what was anticipated. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

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Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Raisio's three analysts is for revenues of €232.7m in 2026. This reflects a reasonable 4.0% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to swell 19% to €0.16. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €235.4m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.16 in 2026. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

View our latest analysis for Raisio

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of €2.93, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Raisio analyst has a price target of €3.20 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €2.80. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that Raisio is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Raisio's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 3.2% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2026 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 0.7% p.a. over the past five years. Other similar companies in the industry (with analyst coverage) are also forecast to grow their revenue at 3.1% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Raisio is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Raisio. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Raisio analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.