Results: Atria Oyj Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Shareholders might have noticed that Atria Oyj (HEL:ATRAV) filed its quarterly result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 3.1% to €12.50 in the past week. It looks like a credible result overall - although revenues of €421m were what the analysts expected, Atria Oyj surprised by delivering a (statutory) profit of €0.28 per share, an impressive 93% above what was forecast. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Atria Oyj after the latest results.

We've discovered 2 warning signs about Atria Oyj. View them for free.

Taking into account the latest results, Atria Oyj's two analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be €1.78b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to decline 11% to €1.42 in the same period. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €1.80b and earnings per share (EPS) of €1.40 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for Atria Oyj

The consensus price target rose 14% to €14.88despite there being no meaningful change to earnings estimates. It could be that the analystsare reflecting the predictability of Atria Oyj's earnings by assigning a price premium.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We would highlight that Atria Oyj's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 1.5% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 4.4% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 3.7% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Atria Oyj is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have analyst estimates for Atria Oyj going out as far as 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Atria Oyj that you need to take into consideration.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.