Here's Why Atria Oyj (HEL:ATRAV) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Atria Oyj (HEL:ATRAV) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Atria Oyj
How Much Debt Does Atria Oyj Carry?
As you can see below, Atria Oyj had €195.7m of debt at March 2021, down from €251.9m a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of €9.20m, its net debt is less, at about €186.5m.
A Look At Atria Oyj's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Atria Oyj had liabilities of €280.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €210.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €9.20m as well as receivables valued at €119.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €361.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of €328.0m, we think shareholders really should watch Atria Oyj's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Atria Oyj's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.0 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 10.3 times, makes us even more comfortable. If Atria Oyj can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 19% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Atria Oyj can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Atria Oyj actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
Atria Oyj's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real positive on this analysis, as was its interest cover. But truth be told its level of total liabilities had us nibbling our nails. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Atria Oyj is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Atria Oyj you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About HLSE:ATRAV
Atria Oyj
Produces and markets meat and food products in Finland, Sweden, Denmark, Estonia, and Russia.
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.