Stock Analysis

Anora Group Oyj Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

HLSE:ANORA
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Anora Group Oyj (HEL:ANORA) just released its latest quarterly report and things are not looking great. It wasn't a great result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at €163m, statutory earnings missed forecasts by an incredible 38%, coming in at just €0.05 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

See our latest analysis for Anora Group Oyj

earnings-and-revenue-growth
HLSE:ANORA Earnings and Revenue Growth November 10th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, Anora Group Oyj's three analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be €716.3m, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Anora Group Oyj is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of €0.44 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €719.8m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.47 in 2025. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a small dip in their earnings per share forecasts.

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at €5.10, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Anora Group Oyj at €6.70 per share, while the most bearish prices it at €3.80. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Anora Group Oyj's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 1.1% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 19% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 4.2% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Anora Group Oyj is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Anora Group Oyj's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at €5.10, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Anora Group Oyj analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You still need to take note of risks, for example - Anora Group Oyj has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.