Stock Analysis

CapMan Oyj's (HEL:CAPMAN) Dividend Will Be Reduced To €0.06

HLSE:CAPMAN
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CapMan Oyj (HEL:CAPMAN) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to €0.06 on the 9th of April. This payment takes the dividend yield to 5.1%, which only provides a modest boost to overall returns.

See our latest analysis for CapMan Oyj

CapMan Oyj's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable. Based on the last payment, the company wasn't making enough to cover what it was paying to shareholders. It will be difficult to sustain this level of payout so we wouldn't be confident about this continuing.

According to analysts, EPS should be several times higher next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 72%, which would make us comfortable with the dividend's sustainability, despite the levels currently being elevated.

historic-dividend
HLSE:CAPMAN Historic Dividend March 4th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of €0.04 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of €0.10. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.6% a year over that time. We have seen cuts in the past, so while the growth looks promising we would be a little bit cautious about its track record.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Earnings per share has been sinking by 31% over the last five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.

CapMan Oyj's Dividend Doesn't Look Great

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. The company seems to be stretching itself a bit to make such big payments, but it doesn't appear they can be consistent over time. The dividend doesn't inspire confidence that it will provide solid income in the future.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for CapMan Oyj (of which 2 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About HLSE:CAPMAN

CapMan Oyj

A leading Nordic private assets management and investment firm with an active approach to value creation and private equity and venture capital firm specializing in growth capital investments, industry consolidation, turnaround, recapitalization, middle market buyouts, credit and mezzanine financing in unquoted companies, investments in value-add and income focused real estate, and investments in energy, transportation, and telecommunications infrastructure.

High growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.