Stock Analysis

Valmet Oyj (HEL:VALMT) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

HLSE:VALMT
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Valmet Oyj (HEL:VALMT) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Valmet Oyj

How Much Debt Does Valmet Oyj Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Valmet Oyj had €1.56b of debt, up from €690.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of €763.0m, its net debt is less, at about €793.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
HLSE:VALMT Debt to Equity History May 21st 2024

How Strong Is Valmet Oyj's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Valmet Oyj had liabilities of €2.83b due within 12 months and liabilities of €1.94b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €763.0m as well as receivables valued at €1.57b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €2.43b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Valmet Oyj is worth €4.80b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Valmet Oyj has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.2. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 15.8 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Also good is that Valmet Oyj grew its EBIT at 11% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Valmet Oyj can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Valmet Oyj's free cash flow amounted to 38% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

On our analysis Valmet Oyj's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to handle its total liabilities. Considering this range of data points, we think Valmet Oyj is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Valmet Oyj has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.