Stock Analysis

We Like Kreate Group Oyj's (HEL:KREATE) Earnings For More Than Just Statutory Profit

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HLSE:KREATE

The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Kreate Group Oyj (HEL:KREATE) despite the healthy numbers. Our analysis suggests that shareholders might be missing some positive underlying factors in the earnings report.

See our latest analysis for Kreate Group Oyj

HLSE:KREATE Earnings and Revenue History November 4th 2024

A Closer Look At Kreate Group Oyj's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to September 2024, Kreate Group Oyj had an accrual ratio of -0.13. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of €14m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of €4.19m. Kreate Group Oyj's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Kreate Group Oyj's profit was reduced by unusual items worth €1.5m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Kreate Group Oyj doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On Kreate Group Oyj's Profit Performance

Considering both Kreate Group Oyj's accrual ratio and its unusual items, we think its statutory earnings are unlikely to exaggerate the company's underlying earnings power. Looking at all these factors, we'd say that Kreate Group Oyj's underlying earnings power is at least as good as the statutory numbers would make it seem. If you'd like to know more about Kreate Group Oyj as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Kreate Group Oyj has 4 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these.

After our examination into the nature of Kreate Group Oyj's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kreate Group Oyj might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.