With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.4x Hiab Oyj (HEL:HIAB) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Finland have P/E ratios under 20x and even P/E's lower than 14x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
There hasn't been much to differentiate Hiab Oyj's and the market's retreating earnings lately. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company can turn things around and break free from the broader downward trend in earnings. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Hiab Oyj
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hiab Oyj would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.2% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 43% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 13% each year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 16% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it concerning that Hiab Oyj is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Hiab Oyj's P/E
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Hiab Oyj currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Hiab Oyj with six simple checks.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.