What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Consti Oyj (HEL:CONSTI) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Consti Oyj:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.19 = €9.0m ÷ (€114m - €67m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
So, Consti Oyj has an ROCE of 19%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Construction industry average of 8.8% it's much better.
View our latest analysis for Consti Oyj
In the above chart we have measured Consti Oyj's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Consti Oyj.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Consti Oyj Tell Us?
Things have been pretty stable at Consti Oyj, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if Consti Oyj doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time. With fewer investment opportunities, it makes sense that Consti Oyj has been paying out a decent 45% of its earnings to shareholders. Unless businesses have highly compelling growth opportunities, they'll typically return some money to shareholders.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Consti Oyj has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 58%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
In Conclusion...
In a nutshell, Consti Oyj has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. Since the stock has declined 28% over the last five years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
One more thing to note, we've identified 3 warning signs with Consti Oyj and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
While Consti Oyj isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About HLSE:CONSTI
Consti Oyj
Provides renovation contracting and technical building services in Finland.
Undervalued with adequate balance sheet.