Stock Analysis

Here's Why Nicolás Correa (BME:NEA) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

BME:NEA
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Nicolás Correa, S.A. (BME:NEA) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Nicolás Correa

What Is Nicolás Correa's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 Nicolás Correa had debt of €15.6m, up from €8.09m in one year. However, it does have €17.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €1.76m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BME:NEA Debt to Equity History June 1st 2021

How Strong Is Nicolás Correa's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Nicolás Correa had liabilities of €26.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €14.1m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €17.4m in cash and €20.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €2.00m.

Given Nicolás Correa has a market capitalization of €65.9m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Nicolás Correa boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In fact Nicolás Correa's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 21% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Nicolás Correa's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Nicolás Correa may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Nicolás Correa recorded free cash flow of 49% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Nicolás Correa has €1.76m in net cash. So we are not troubled with Nicolás Correa's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Nicolás Correa that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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