Talaat Moustafa Group Holding

CASE:TMGH Stock Report

Market Cap: ج.م127.5b

Talaat Moustafa Group Holding Valuation

Is TMGH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TMGH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TMGH (EGP61.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (EGP63.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TMGH is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TMGH?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TMGH key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.8x
PEG Ratio0.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TMGH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TMGH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.3x
EMFD Emaar Misr for Development Company (S.A.E.)
3.5xn/aج.م37.7b
PHDC Palm Hills DevelopmentsE
7.4x37.1%ج.م19.9b
OCDI Sixth of October for Development and Investment Company SODIC (S.A.E.)
11.6xn/aج.م19.3b
ZMID Zahraa El Maadi Investment and Development Company SAE
10.7xn/aج.م4.0b
TMGH Talaat Moustafa Group Holding
24.9x38.9%ج.م127.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TMGH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.9x) compared to the peer average (8.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TMGH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the EG Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TMGH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.9x) compared to the EG Real Estate industry average (12.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TMGH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TMGH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.9x
Fair PE Ratio12.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TMGH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TMGH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentج.م61.80
ج.م96.08
+55.5%
12.3%ج.م109.30ج.م75.00n/a5
Sep ’25ج.م60.00
ج.م96.08
+60.1%
12.3%ج.م109.30ج.م75.00n/a5
Aug ’25ج.م55.52
ج.م96.33
+73.5%
13.7%ج.م109.30ج.م75.00n/a4
Jul ’25ج.م57.12
ج.م80.06
+40.2%
43.2%ج.م109.30ج.م15.00n/a5
Jun ’25ج.م54.08
ج.م80.06
+48.0%
43.2%ج.م109.30ج.م15.00n/a5
May ’25ج.م55.06
ج.م67.92
+23.4%
54.7%ج.م109.30ج.م15.00n/a5
Apr ’25ج.م65.21
ج.م67.92
+4.2%
54.7%ج.م109.30ج.م15.00n/a5
Mar ’25ج.م66.90
ج.م60.12
-10.1%
53.8%ج.م109.30ج.م15.00n/a5
Feb ’25ج.م33.90
ج.م28.91
-14.7%
41.3%ج.م42.95ج.م14.20n/a5
Jan ’25ج.م24.15
ج.م28.91
+19.7%
41.3%ج.م42.95ج.م14.20n/a5
Dec ’24ج.م22.25
ج.م28.89
+29.8%
41.3%ج.م42.95ج.م14.20n/a5
Nov ’24ج.م22.40
ج.م20.53
-8.3%
40.3%ج.م35.90ج.م14.20n/a5
Oct ’24ج.م13.32
ج.م16.69
+25.3%
20.4%ج.م22.55ج.م14.20ج.م63.004
Sep ’24ج.م10.90
ج.م16.33
+49.8%
17.4%ج.م22.55ج.م14.20ج.م60.006
Aug ’24ج.م9.05
ج.م16.97
+87.5%
19.0%ج.م23.70ج.م14.20ج.م55.527
Jul ’24ج.م9.00
ج.م16.95
+88.4%
19.1%ج.م23.70ج.م14.10ج.م57.127
Jun ’24ج.م9.55
ج.م16.95
+77.5%
19.1%ج.م23.70ج.م14.10ج.م54.087
May ’24ج.م9.39
ج.م17.33
+84.6%
18.4%ج.م23.70ج.م14.10ج.م55.068
Apr ’24ج.م8.67
ج.م17.33
+99.9%
18.4%ج.م23.70ج.م14.10ج.م65.218
Mar ’24ج.م9.60
ج.م17.33
+80.6%
18.4%ج.م23.70ج.م14.10ج.م66.908
Feb ’24ج.م9.66
ج.م17.17
+77.8%
25.5%ج.م23.70ج.م10.56ج.م33.906
Jan ’24ج.م9.99
ج.م15.87
+58.8%
22.5%ج.م20.00ج.م10.56ج.م24.155
Dec ’23ج.م8.66
ج.م15.73
+81.6%
23.2%ج.م20.00ج.م10.56ج.م22.255
Nov ’23ج.م8.44
ج.م15.12
+79.2%
20.9%ج.م20.00ج.م10.56ج.م22.405
Oct ’23ج.م7.33
ج.م14.11
+92.4%
15.8%ج.م16.66ج.م10.56ج.م13.324

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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