Heliopolis Co. for Housing & Development

CASE:HELI Stock Report

Market Cap: ج.م14.2b

Heliopolis for Housing & Development Valuation

Is HELI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HELI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
ج.م1.05
Fair Value
911.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: HELI (EGP10.6) is trading above our estimate of fair value (EGP1.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HELI is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HELI?

Key metric: As HELI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HELI. This is calculated by dividing HELI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HELI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio1.5x
Earningsج.م9.55b
Market Capج.م14.15b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HELI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HELI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.7x
MASR Madinet Masr For Housing and Development
2.9xn/aج.م8.5b
EIUD Egyptians for investment & Urban development
39.2xn/aج.م412.5m
CCRS Gulf Canadian Company for Arab Real Estate Investment
83.7xn/aج.م230.7m
ELSH Al Shams Housing and Urbanization SAE
9xn/aج.م1.4b
HELI Heliopolis for Housing & Development
1.5x-79.2%ج.م14.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HELI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.5x) compared to the peer average (33.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HELI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the EG Real Estate Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.12.9x18.9%
HELI Heliopolis for Housing & Development
 1.5x-79.2%US$281.33m
EMFD Emaar Misr for Development Company (S.A.E.)
2.6xn/aUS$609.56m
MASR Madinet Masr For Housing and Development
2.9xn/aUS$169.34m
HELI 1.5xIndustry Avg. 12.9xNo. of Companies7PE020406080100+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.12.9x18.9%
HELI Heliopolis for Housing & Development
 1.5x-79.2%US$281.33m
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HELI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.5x) compared to the EG Real Estate industry average (12.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HELI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HELI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio1.5x
Fair PE Ratio1.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HELI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HELI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentج.م10.60
ج.م24.05
+126.9%
12.7%ج.م27.10ج.م21.00n/a2
Jan ’26ج.م9.04
ج.م25.37
+180.6%
12.3%ج.م28.00ج.م21.00n/a3
Dec ’25ج.م9.77
ج.م23.58
+141.3%
17.6%ج.م28.00ج.م18.00n/a4
Nov ’25ج.م10.12
ج.م23.58
+133.0%
17.6%ج.م28.00ج.م18.00n/a4
Oct ’25ج.م10.55
ج.م23.58
+123.5%
17.6%ج.م28.00ج.م18.00n/a4
Sep ’25ج.م10.12
ج.م23.58
+133.0%
17.6%ج.م28.00ج.م18.00n/a4
Aug ’25ج.م9.86
ج.م23.33
+136.6%
16.9%ج.م28.00ج.م18.00n/a4
Jul ’25ج.م9.90
ج.م20.77
+109.8%
22.0%ج.م28.00ج.م16.00n/a4
Jun ’25ج.م10.55
ج.م20.65
+95.7%
22.5%ج.م28.00ج.م16.00n/a4
May ’25ج.م9.40
ج.م18.36
+95.3%
11.7%ج.م21.20ج.م16.00n/a3
Apr ’25ج.م10.15
ج.م17.59
+73.3%
13.9%ج.م21.20ج.م14.03n/a5
Mar ’25ج.م12.07
ج.م16.70
+38.3%
9.9%ج.م18.84ج.م14.03n/a5
Feb ’25ج.م10.28
ج.م16.70
+62.4%
9.9%ج.م18.84ج.م14.03ج.م11.045
Jan ’25ج.م10.40
ج.م16.58
+59.4%
9.2%ج.م18.84ج.م14.03ج.م9.046
Dec ’24ج.م10.60
ج.م16.58
+56.4%
9.2%ج.م18.84ج.م14.03ج.م9.776
Nov ’24ج.م11.64
ج.م15.50
+33.1%
19.8%ج.م18.84ج.م9.50ج.م10.126
Oct ’24ج.م10.95
ج.م16.70
+52.5%
9.9%ج.م18.84ج.م14.03ج.م10.555
Sep ’24ج.م12.08
ج.م13.94
+15.4%
29.3%ج.م17.87ج.م6.62ج.م10.125
Aug ’24ج.م10.80
ج.م13.23
+22.5%
32.4%ج.م17.87ج.م6.62ج.م9.864
Jul ’24ج.م11.45
ج.م13.23
+15.6%
32.4%ج.م17.87ج.م6.62ج.م9.904
Jun ’24ج.م10.59
ج.م9.54
-10.0%
21.6%ج.م12.44ج.م6.62ج.م10.554
May ’24ج.م9.60
ج.م9.54
-0.7%
21.6%ج.م12.44ج.م6.62ج.م9.404
Apr ’24ج.م8.91
ج.م9.54
+7.0%
21.6%ج.م12.44ج.م6.62ج.م10.154
Mar ’24ج.م9.60
ج.م9.54
-0.7%
21.6%ج.م12.44ج.م6.62ج.م12.074
Feb ’24ج.م9.90
ج.م9.54
-3.7%
21.6%ج.م12.44ج.م6.62ج.م10.284
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
ج.م24.05
Fair Value
55.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/06 23:33
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/06 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Heliopolis Co. for Housing & Development is covered by 7 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mohamad HaidarArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Mai AttiaEFG-Hermes Research
Shaza ShakerEFG-Hermes Research