Heliopolis Co. for Housing & Development

CASE:HELI Stock Report

Market Cap: ج.م13.0b

Heliopolis for Housing & Development Valuation

Is HELI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HELI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HELI (EGP9.71) is trading above our estimate of fair value (EGP1.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HELI is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HELI?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HELI key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA0.4x
PEG Ratio-0.02x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HELI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HELI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.4x
MASR Madinet Masr For Housing and Development
3.9xn/aج.م7.2b
ELSH Al Shams Housing and Urbanization SAE
8.8xn/aج.م1.3b
ELKA El Kahera Housing
6.5xn/aج.م1.2b
DCRC Delta for Construction & Rebuilding
10.2xn/aج.م545.0m
HELI Heliopolis for Housing & Development
1.7x-102.9%ج.م13.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HELI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.7x) compared to the peer average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HELI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the EG Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HELI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.7x) compared to the EG Real Estate industry average (15.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HELI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HELI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio1.7x
Fair PE Ratio1.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HELI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HELI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentج.م9.71
ج.م18.36
+89.0%
11.7%ج.م21.20ج.م16.00n/a3
Apr ’25ج.م10.15
ج.م17.59
+73.3%
13.9%ج.م21.20ج.م14.03n/a5
Mar ’25ج.م12.07
ج.م16.70
+38.3%
9.9%ج.م18.84ج.م14.03n/a5
Feb ’25ج.م10.28
ج.م16.70
+62.4%
9.9%ج.م18.84ج.م14.03n/a5
Jan ’25ج.م10.40
ج.م16.58
+59.4%
9.2%ج.م18.84ج.م14.03n/a6
Dec ’24ج.م10.60
ج.م16.58
+56.4%
9.2%ج.م18.84ج.م14.03n/a6
Nov ’24ج.م11.64
ج.م15.50
+33.1%
19.8%ج.م18.84ج.م9.50n/a6
Oct ’24ج.م10.95
ج.م16.70
+52.5%
9.9%ج.م18.84ج.م14.03n/a5
Sep ’24ج.م12.08
ج.م13.94
+15.4%
29.3%ج.م17.87ج.م6.62n/a5
Aug ’24ج.م10.80
ج.م13.23
+22.5%
32.4%ج.م17.87ج.م6.62n/a4
Jul ’24ج.م11.45
ج.م13.23
+15.6%
32.4%ج.م17.87ج.م6.62n/a4
Jun ’24ج.م10.59
ج.م9.54
-10.0%
21.6%ج.م12.44ج.م6.62n/a4
May ’24ج.م9.60
ج.م9.54
-0.7%
21.6%ج.م12.44ج.م6.62ج.م9.404
Apr ’24ج.م8.91
ج.م9.54
+7.0%
21.6%ج.م12.44ج.م6.62ج.م10.154
Mar ’24ج.م9.60
ج.م9.54
-0.7%
21.6%ج.م12.44ج.م6.62ج.م12.074
Feb ’24ج.م9.90
ج.م9.54
-3.7%
21.6%ج.م12.44ج.م6.62ج.م10.284
Jan ’24ج.م7.96
ج.م8.57
+7.6%
16.1%ج.م9.58ج.م6.62ج.م10.403
Dec ’23ج.م6.52
ج.م8.57
+31.4%
16.1%ج.م9.58ج.م6.62ج.م10.603
Nov ’23ج.م5.88
ج.م8.57
+45.7%
16.1%ج.م9.58ج.م6.62ج.م11.643
Oct ’23ج.م5.75
ج.م8.57
+49.0%
16.1%ج.م9.58ج.م6.62ج.م10.953
Sep ’23ج.م5.91
ج.م8.10
+37.1%
18.3%ج.م9.58ج.م6.62ج.م12.082
Aug ’23ج.م5.35
ج.م8.07
+50.8%
13.4%ج.م9.58ج.م6.62ج.م10.804
Jul ’23ج.م4.92
ج.م8.07
+64.0%
13.4%ج.م9.58ج.م6.62ج.م11.454
Jun ’23ج.م4.36
ج.م8.07
+85.1%
13.4%ج.م9.58ج.م6.62ج.م10.594
May ’23ج.م5.75
ج.م8.55
+48.8%
9.2%ج.م9.58ج.م7.67ج.م9.603

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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