Stock Analysis

AS Tallinna Vesi's (TAL:TVE1T) Dividend Will Be Reduced To €0.33

TLSE:TVE1T
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The board of AS Tallinna Vesi (TAL:TVE1T) has announced it will be reducing its dividend by 49% from last year's payment of €0.65 on the 28th of June, with shareholders receiving €0.33. The dividend yield of 5.1% is still a nice boost to shareholder returns, despite the cut.

Check out our latest analysis for AS Tallinna Vesi

AS Tallinna Vesi's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, earnings were actually smaller than the dividend, and the company was actually spending more cash than it was making. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating any free cash flow would definitely be difficult to keep up.

Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 4.1% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. Assuming the dividend continues along the course it has been charting recently, our estimates show the payout ratio being 72% which brings it into quite a comfortable range.

historic-dividend
TLSE:TVE1T Historic Dividend May 12th 2023

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was €0.87 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was €0.65. This works out to be a decline of approximately 2.9% per year over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. However, AS Tallinna Vesi has only grown its earnings per share at 4.1% per annum over the past five years. The company is paying out a lot of its profits, even though it is growing those profits pretty slowly. This gives limited room for the company to raise the dividend in the future.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 4 warning signs for AS Tallinna Vesi you should be aware of, and 2 of them shouldn't be ignored. Is AS Tallinna Vesi not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.