Stock Analysis

Københavns Lufthavne A/S (CPH:KBHL) Stock Rockets 44% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

CPSE:KBHL
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Københavns Lufthavne A/S (CPH:KBHL) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 44% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 25%.

Since its price has surged higher, Københavns Lufthavne's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 59.9x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Denmark, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 14x and even P/E's below 7x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Københavns Lufthavne has been doing very well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Københavns Lufthavne

pe-multiple-vs-industry
CPSE:KBHL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 3rd 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Københavns Lufthavne, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Københavns Lufthavne's Growth Trending?

Københavns Lufthavne's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 131%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 19% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Københavns Lufthavne is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Københavns Lufthavne's P/E?

Københavns Lufthavne's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Københavns Lufthavne currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Københavns Lufthavne you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Københavns Lufthavne. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Københavns Lufthavne might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.