David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Fast Ejendom Danmark A/S (CPH:FED) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Fast Ejendom Danmark
What Is Fast Ejendom Danmark's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Fast Ejendom Danmark had kr.665.2m of debt, an increase on kr.618.7m, over one year. However, it also had kr.37.3m in cash, and so its net debt is kr.627.9m.
How Healthy Is Fast Ejendom Danmark's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Fast Ejendom Danmark had liabilities of kr.40.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of kr.702.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr.37.3m as well as receivables valued at kr.3.55m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr.701.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the kr.308.5m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Fast Ejendom Danmark would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Fast Ejendom Danmark has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 26.3 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 3.0 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Worse, Fast Ejendom Danmark's EBIT was down 30% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Fast Ejendom Danmark's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Fast Ejendom Danmark recorded free cash flow worth 77% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
To be frank both Fast Ejendom Danmark's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that Fast Ejendom Danmark's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Fast Ejendom Danmark has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About CPSE:FED
Fast Ejendom Danmark
Fast Ejendom Denmark is a real estate investment firm specializing in commercial and residential properties.
Proven track record low.