Stock Analysis

ALK-Abelló A/S (CPH:ALK B) Released Earnings Last Week And Analysts Lifted Their Price Target To kr.143

CPSE:ALK B
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It's been a pretty great week for ALK-Abelló A/S (CPH:ALK B) shareholders, with its shares surging 14% to kr.149 in the week since its latest quarterly results. It was an okay result overall, with revenues coming in at kr.1.4b, roughly what the analysts had been expecting. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

See our latest analysis for ALK-Abelló

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CPSE:ALK B Earnings and Revenue Growth May 5th 2024

Following the latest results, ALK-Abelló's five analysts are now forecasting revenues of kr.5.39b in 2024. This would be a decent 9.1% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to bounce 41% to kr.3.53. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of kr.5.35b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr.3.50 in 2024. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

With the analysts reconfirming their revenue and earnings forecasts, it's surprising to see that the price target rose 8.9% to kr.143. It looks as though they previously had some doubts over whether the business would live up to their expectations. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values ALK-Abelló at kr.165 per share, while the most bearish prices it at kr.120. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of ALK-Abelló'shistorical trends, as the 12% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 is roughly in line with the 10% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 7.7% annually. So although ALK-Abelló is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple ALK-Abelló analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with ALK-Abelló , and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether ALK-Abelló is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.