Dividend paying stocks like NNIT A/S (CPH:NNIT) tend to be popular with investors, and for good reason - some research suggests a significant amount of all stock market returns come from reinvested dividends. Unfortunately, it's common for investors to be enticed in by the seemingly attractive yield, and lose money when the company has to cut its dividend payments.
With a 1.9% yield and a five-year payment history, investors probably think NNIT looks like a reliable dividend stock. While the yield may not look too great, the relatively long payment history is interesting. Before you buy any stock for its dividend however, you should always remember Warren Buffett's two rules: 1) Don't lose money, and 2) Remember rule #1. We'll run through some checks below to help with this.
Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on NNIT!
Payout ratios
Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. As a result, we should always investigate whether a company can afford its dividend, measured as a percentage of a company's net income after tax. In the last year, NNIT paid out 98% of its profit as dividends. With a payout ratio this high, we'd say its dividend is not well covered by earnings. This may be fine if earnings are growing, but it might not take much of a downturn for the dividend to come under pressure.
Another important check we do is to see if the free cash flow generated is sufficient to pay the dividend. NNIT paid out 25% of its free cash flow as dividends last year, which is conservative and suggests the dividend is sustainable. It's good to see that while NNIT's dividends were not well covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a free cash flow perspective. Still, if the company continues paying out such a high percentage of its profits, the dividend could be at risk if business turns sour.
Consider getting our latest analysis on NNIT's financial position here.
Dividend Volatility
One of the major risks of relying on dividend income, is the potential for a company to struggle financially and cut its dividend. Not only is your income cut, but the value of your investment declines as well - nasty. NNIT has been paying a dividend for the past five years. During the past five-year period, the first annual payment was kr.4.0 in 2016, compared to kr.2.0 last year. Dividend payments have fallen sharply, down 50% over that time.
We struggle to make a case for buying NNIT for its dividend, given that payments have shrunk over the past five years.
Dividend Growth Potential
Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. Over the past five years, it looks as though NNIT's EPS have declined at around 19% a year. With this kind of significant decline, we always wonder what has changed in the business. Dividends are about stability, and NNIT's earnings per share, which support the dividend, have been anything but stable.
Conclusion
When we look at a dividend stock, we need to form a judgement on whether the dividend will grow, if the company is able to maintain it in a wide range of economic circumstances, and if the dividend payout is sustainable. We're not keen on the fact that NNIT paid out such a high percentage of its income, although its cashflow is in better shape. Earnings per share are down, and NNIT's dividend has been cut at least once in the past, which is disappointing. Overall, NNIT falls short in several key areas here. Unless the investor has strong grounds for an alternative conclusion, we find it hard to get interested in a dividend stock with these characteristics.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 3 warning signs for NNIT that investors should take into consideration.
If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of dividend stocks yielding above 3%.
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About CPSE:NNIT
NNIT
Provides information technology services to life sciences, public, and private sectors in Denmark, Europe, the United States, and Asia.
Undervalued with adequate balance sheet.