If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after investigating NNIT (CPH:NNIT), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for NNIT:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.08 = kr.160m ÷ (kr.2.9b - kr.878m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2021).
Thus, NNIT has an ROCE of 8.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Healthcare Services industry average of 12%.
View our latest analysis for NNIT
Above you can see how the current ROCE for NNIT compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for NNIT.
The Trend Of ROCE
In terms of NNIT's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 8.0% from 34% five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
The Key Takeaway
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by NNIT's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Since the stock has declined 44% over the last five years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
If you want to continue researching NNIT, you might be interested to know about the 3 warning signs that our analysis has discovered.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About CPSE:NNIT
NNIT
Provides information technology services to life sciences, public, and private sectors in Denmark, Europe, the United States, and Asia.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.