Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Royal Unibrew A/S (CPH:RBREW) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Royal Unibrew
What Is Royal Unibrew's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2021 Royal Unibrew had kr.3.60b of debt, an increase on kr.1.95b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of kr.199.0m, its net debt is less, at about kr.3.40b.
A Look At Royal Unibrew's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Royal Unibrew had liabilities of kr.4.36b falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr.3.19b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr.199.0m as well as receivables valued at kr.1.16b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr.6.20b.
Of course, Royal Unibrew has a market capitalization of kr.37.9b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Royal Unibrew's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.7 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 51.5 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. We saw Royal Unibrew grow its EBIT by 4.3% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Royal Unibrew's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Royal Unibrew generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 82% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
The good news is that Royal Unibrew's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Zooming out, Royal Unibrew seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Royal Unibrew you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About CPSE:RBREW
Royal Unibrew
Provides beer, soft drinks, malt beverages, energy drinks, cider/ready to drink, juice, water, and wine and spirits.
Solid track record with mediocre balance sheet.