Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. So when we looked at Carlsberg (CPH:CARL B) and its trend of ROCE, we really liked what we saw.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Carlsberg:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.10 = kr.9.3b ÷ (kr.119b - kr.28b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Therefore, Carlsberg has an ROCE of 10%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Beverage industry average of 9.4%.
See our latest analysis for Carlsberg
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Carlsberg compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Carlsberg here for free.
What Can We Tell From Carlsberg's ROCE Trend?
Carlsberg has not disappointed with their ROCE growth. The figures show that over the last five years, ROCE has grown 23% whilst employing roughly the same amount of capital. So it's likely that the business is now reaping the full benefits of its past investments, since the capital employed hasn't changed considerably. It's worth looking deeper into this though because while it's great that the business is more efficient, it might also mean that going forward the areas to invest internally for the organic growth are lacking.
The Bottom Line
In summary, we're delighted to see that Carlsberg has been able to increase efficiencies and earn higher rates of return on the same amount of capital. And with the stock having performed exceptionally well over the last five years, these patterns are being accounted for by investors. In light of that, we think it's worth looking further into this stock because if Carlsberg can keep these trends up, it could have a bright future ahead.
One more thing, we've spotted 1 warning sign facing Carlsberg that you might find interesting.
While Carlsberg isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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About CPSE:CARL B
Carlsberg
Produces and sells beer and other beverage products in Denmark, China, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Very undervalued established dividend payer.