Stock Analysis

Carlsberg's (CPH:CARL B) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. So on that note, Carlsberg (CPH:CARL B) looks quite promising in regards to its trends of return on capital.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Carlsberg is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.16 = kr.10b ÷ (kr.112b - kr.47b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

Thus, Carlsberg has an ROCE of 16%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Beverage industry average of 9.8% it's much better.

Check out our latest analysis for Carlsberg

roce
CPSE:CARL B Return on Capital Employed March 2nd 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Carlsberg compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Carlsberg .

What Can We Tell From Carlsberg's ROCE Trend?

We're pretty happy with how the ROCE has been trending at Carlsberg. The figures show that over the last five years, returns on capital have grown by 48%. That's a very favorable trend because this means that the company is earning more per dollar of capital that's being employed. In regards to capital employed, Carlsberg appears to been achieving more with less, since the business is using 22% less capital to run its operation. If this trend continues, the business might be getting more efficient but it's shrinking in terms of total assets.

For the record though, there was a noticeable increase in the company's current liabilities over the period, so we would attribute some of the ROCE growth to that. Essentially the business now has suppliers or short-term creditors funding about 42% of its operations, which isn't ideal. Given it's pretty high ratio, we'd remind investors that having current liabilities at those levels can bring about some risks in certain businesses.

What We Can Learn From Carlsberg's ROCE

In a nutshell, we're pleased to see that Carlsberg has been able to generate higher returns from less capital. Since the stock has only returned 30% to shareholders over the last five years, the promising fundamentals may not be recognized yet by investors. Given that, we'd look further into this stock in case it has more traits that could make it multiply in the long term.

Like most companies, Carlsberg does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About CPSE:CARL B

Carlsberg

Produces and markets beer and other beverage products in Denmark, China, the United Kingdom, and internationally.

Undervalued established dividend payer.

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