Stock Analysis

Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy SKAKO A/S (CPH:SKAKO) For Its Upcoming Dividend

CPSE:SKAKO
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SKAKO A/S (CPH:SKAKO) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 3 days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be one business day before the record date which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company's books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. Accordingly, SKAKO investors that purchase the stock on or after the 20th of April will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 22nd of April.

The company's next dividend payment will be kr.4.00 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed kr.4.00 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, SKAKO has a trailing yield of 7.1% on the current stock price of DKK56.6. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether SKAKO's dividend is reliable and sustainable. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

View our latest analysis for SKAKO

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Last year, SKAKO paid out 94% of its income as dividends, which is above a level that we're comfortable with, especially if the company needs to reinvest in its business. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. Thankfully its dividend payments took up just 41% of the free cash flow it generated, which is a comfortable payout ratio.

It's good to see that while SKAKO's dividends were not well covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if this were to happen repeatedly, we'd be concerned about whether the dividend is sustainable in a downturn.

Click here to see how much of its profit SKAKO paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
CPSE:SKAKO Historic Dividend April 16th 2022

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. So we're not too excited that SKAKO's earnings are down 4.4% a year over the past five years.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. In the last two years, SKAKO has lifted its dividend by approximately 41% a year on average. The only way to pay higher dividends when earnings are shrinking is either to pay out a larger percentage of profits, spend cash from the balance sheet, or borrow the money. SKAKO is already paying out 94% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.

Final Takeaway

Should investors buy SKAKO for the upcoming dividend? It's never great to see earnings per share declining, especially when a company is paying out 94% of its profit as dividends, which we feel is uncomfortably high. Yet cashflow was much stronger, which makes us wonder if there are some large timing issues in SKAKO's cash flows, or perhaps the company has written down some assets aggressively, reducing its income. With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of SKAKO.

So if you're still interested in SKAKO despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. For example, we've found 2 warning signs for SKAKO that we recommend you consider before investing in the business.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.