Stock Analysis

Here's Why MT Højgaard Holding (CPH:MTHH) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

CPSE:MTHH
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies MT Højgaard Holding A/S (CPH:MTHH) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for MT Højgaard Holding

What Is MT Højgaard Holding's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that MT Højgaard Holding had debt of kr.466.5m at the end of September 2020, a reduction from kr.1.17b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of kr.201.9m, its net debt is less, at about kr.264.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
CPSE:MTHH Debt to Equity History February 4th 2021

How Healthy Is MT Højgaard Holding's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, MT Højgaard Holding had liabilities of kr.2.29b due within 12 months, and liabilities of kr.1.24b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of kr.201.9m and kr.1.74b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total kr.1.58b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of kr.1.34b, we think shareholders really should watch MT Højgaard Holding's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While MT Højgaard Holding has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.8, its interest cover seems weak, at 0.41. This does have us wondering if the company pays high interest because it is considered risky. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. Notably, MT Højgaard Holding made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of kr.83m in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine MT Højgaard Holding's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, MT Højgaard Holding actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

Neither MT Højgaard Holding's ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that MT Højgaard Holding is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - MT Højgaard Holding has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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