Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Gelsenwasser AG (FRA:WWG) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Gelsenwasser
What Is Gelsenwasser's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 Gelsenwasser had €266.1m of debt, an increase on €129.2m, over one year. However, it also had €50.6m in cash, and so its net debt is €215.5m.
How Strong Is Gelsenwasser's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Gelsenwasser had liabilities of €1.73b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €1.26b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €50.6m in cash and €504.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €2.44b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's €2.30b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Gelsenwasser's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.9 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 727 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Importantly, Gelsenwasser grew its EBIT by 54% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Gelsenwasser's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Gelsenwasser generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 89% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
Gelsenwasser's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its level of total liabilities has the opposite effect. It's also worth noting that Gelsenwasser is in the Integrated Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Gelsenwasser takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Gelsenwasser has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About DB:WWG
Gelsenwasser
Engages in the water, wastewater, gas supply, and electricity businesses in Germany, the Czech Republic, and Poland.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.